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Cold front moving through WNY on Thursday could bring snow for Christmas

Historically, a 58% chance for a White Christmas in WNY
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Posted at 10:45 AM, Dec 14, 2020
and last updated 2020-12-18 10:09:22-05

BUFFALO, N.Y. (WKBW) — The 8- to 14-day outlook calls for temperatures to be above normal through December 24th. A cold front moving through WNY on the 24th could drop our temperatures well below freezing on the 25th leading to a White Christmas.

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According to the Buffalo office of the National Weather Service, historically, there is a 58 percent chance of a white Christmas (defined as an inch or more of snow on the ground) since snow depth records started in 1893.

Last year, the high temperature was 50 degrees and there was no snow on the ground, ending a three-year streak. 2016, 2017, and 2018 all had at least an inch of snow on the 25th.

The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above-normal temperatures for next week.

However, the GFS on December 25 is forecasting snow. Models have been bringing a cold front through the area on December 24. We would see rain change to snow on Christmas Eve. If enough snow were to accumulate we could have a White Christmas.

snow on christmas GFS

Now, a forecast this far out is not too accurate, but it will give snow lovers some hope. Stay tuned we'll continue to keep an eye on this for you.