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Should we already be seeing the first flakes of the season?

Winter-like weather possible this weekend
Average First Winter Snowfall
First Flakes
First Measurable snowfall on record
First inch of snowfall on record
Posted at 3:37 PM, Oct 12, 2020
and last updated 2020-10-12 15:54:07-04

BUFFALO, N.Y. (WKBW) — Normal dates to see snow for Buffalo is as follows:

  • On average Buffalo has some flakes flying around October 24th.
  • The first measurable snow, which is greater than .1" is normally November 8th.
  • Typically the 1st inch of snow is around November 18th.

Of course, the "normal" dates are only an average of what actually happens over time, and the Buffalo National Weather Service has records dating back to 1884.

The earliest-ever flakes for Buffalo flew on September 20th, 1956.
The latest ever first flakes flew on November 22 in 1946 and 1985.

When upping the amount to at least a tenth of an inch of snow, or the first measurable snowfall the dates move back a bit!

Earliest ever measurable snowfall:
October 6th, 1991

Latest ever measurable snowfall:
December 18th, 2015

When adjusting for the first inch of snow on record the earliest ever occurred on October 10th, 1906 (the only date earlier than the October Storm which was October 12th, 2006) and the latest ever inch occurred on January 2nd, 1932.

Check out the 7 First Alert Forecast to see where and when the first flakes are possible.