The 2018 NFL Combine is all said and done, we're on the cusp of the start to free agency, which all can mean only one thing: it's time for the first mock draft of the offseason.
The Buffalo Bills are faced with a very interesting conundrum.
With the 21st and 22nd overall selections, the Bills have the ammo required to move up in the draft order to secure a potential franchise quarterback, while still keeping a normal draft.
However, they also have five picks in the first three rounds, which could help build their roster with the infusion of youth that they so desperately need.
Do they mortgage it all to try and get their guy?
Let's find out, with my first mock draft of the season:
(*Note: Mock Drafts are, and always should be, for entertainment purposes only.)
1) - QB Sam Darnold, USC
- At the end of the day, I honestly cannot see the Cleveland Browns passing on a quarterback at first overall. There is too much at stake and they control their own destiny to secure the player that fits them the best at the most important position in football -- a position that they've neglected with a first-round pick for too long. Here is their opportunity, and it seems like Darnold is the guy right now.
2) - RB Saquon Barkley, Penn State
- When the New York Giants hired Dave Gettleman to be their general manager, they're getting a bit of an old-school thinker -- who will probably draw off the Jacksonville Jaguars example of a talented roster, a quick rebuild, a good enough quarterback, and a running back that can get them over the edge. I don't think they should neglect the quarterback position, but Saquon Barkley might be too good to pass up in Gettleman's eyes.
3) - DE Bradley Chubb, NC State
- This is a pretty easy pairing. The Colts desperately need pass rushing help, and Chubb is the best one in the draft. They could also be a trade-down target for a quarterback hungry team.
See the trade details, and the Bills' second selection on Page Two!
4) **TRADE (from HOU via CLE) - QB Josh Rosen, UCLA
- And here it is... what you've all been waiting for. At this point in time, I think GM Brandon Beane will do what he can to make a move up the board that will help his team into the future, without completely mortgaging that same future. As far as quarterbacks in this draft go, the pairing of Josh Rosen with the Bills is as strong as you can find. Everything that Beane has discussed when talking about franchise quarterbacks is embodied in Rosen, considering that the quarterback is the smoothest and most natural pocket passer in the entire NFL Draft this year. His poise in the pocket and maneuverability throughout it while keeping his eyes down the field are reminiscent of a savvy veteran NFL quarterback. Rosen gets a bad reputation around the league for his opinions, but I don't think that will scare the Bills away one bit. They have an advanced scouting report on Rosen and what he's like by way of offensive tackle Conor McDermott, a teammate of Rosen's that absolutely loves the quarterback. If the Bills make a move up the board this high, Rosen seems like an ideal target for them. Now, for the trade specifics. The Bills would probably want to trade both 21 and 22 rather than dealing next year's first-round pick, but the Browns likely will assess the Bills as a team likely to regress next season, with a pick higher than 22. Plus, with all the selections that Cleveland has this season, they don't need another one and they get to add a potential top 15 pick in 2019. Not to mention, they have enough second-round picks to give them a third first-round pick in this draft, so they still have tons of flexibility. The Bills, likely knowing it will take next year's first-round pick to get their quarterback, will likely try to stack as many picks on Day Two and early Day Three as possible for any trade up scenarios, or to come away with prospects of note next year. Plus, they keep 22 in this year's draft. In the end, if Rosen is the guy that they've been waiting for, the cost really won't matter. Here's the big swing, now the Bills have to knock it out of the park.
Trade Details: Cleveland receives 21st overall, 53rd overall, 2019 1st-round pick, 2020 3rd-round pick, T Cordy Glenn. Buffalo receives 4th overall, 123rd overall, 2019 5th-round pick.
5) - OG Quenton Nelson, Notre Dame
- This pick is operating under the assumption that the Broncos sign a free agent quarterback next week. I would not rule out the idea of them taking Mason Rudolph in the second round.
6) - QB Josh Allen, Wyoming
- On the outside looking in of the free agent derby, the Jets take a quarterback they hope to be able to build around. Josh Allen did everything right in Indianapolis, and it's looking more likely than not that he's a Top 10 pick.
7) - S Derwin James, Florida State
- Perhaps not a total position of need for Tampa Bay, but he's a homegrown talent that can play any number of positions on the defensive side of the ball.
8) **TRADE (from CHI) - QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
- Left on the outside looking in on the Patrick Mahomes pick last year, New Orleans moves up and gets the heir apparent to Drew Brees. Baker Mayfield isn't for everyone, but with a creative offensive mind like Sean Payton, the possibilities between this pairing are endless.
Trade Details: Chicago receives 27th overall, 127th overall, 2019 1st-round pick, 2020 3rd-round pick. New Orleans receives 8th overall, 181st overall.
9) - CB Denzel Ward, Ohio State
10) - LB Tremaine Edmunds, Virginia Tech
11) - LB Roquan Smith, Georgia
- In need of multiple linebackers, the Dolphins take advantage of Smith slipping outside of the Top 10.
12) - DB Minkah Fitzpatrick, Alabama
13) - DT Vita Vea, Washington
14) **TRADE (from GB) - QB Lamar Jackson, Louisville
- The same way that the New Orleans Saints did for Baker Mayfield, the Los Angeles Chargers do to land Philip Rivers' eventual replacement. If there is someone that has the mind to unlock the potential of Lamar Jackson in the NFL, it's Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn. Jackson gets the opportunity to learn from Rivers, and develop into a potential game changing player when he gets his chance after Rivers decides to call it a career.
Trade Details: Green Bay receives 17th overall, 84th overall, 191st overall. Los Angeles Chargers receive 14th overall.
15) - CB Jaire Alexander, Louisville
16) - WR D.J. Moore, Maryland
17) (from LAC) - CB Josh Jackson, Iowa
18) - OT Connor Williams, Texas
19) **TRADE (from DAL) - DE Marcus Davenport, Texas-San Antonio
- With an older pass rushing core, and after just releasing Charles Johnson, the need for a new pass rusher is there. Davenport is the exact body type they look for in defensive ends, and would slot in as an immediate starter.
Trade Details: Dallas receives 24th overall, 85th overall. Carolina receives 19th overall.
20) - DT Da'Ron Payne, Alabama
21) (from BUF) - RB Derrius Guice, LSU
22) (from KC) - LB Leighton Vander Esch, Boise State
- Still armed with another first-round pick, the Bills draft for a position that is absolutely critical to Sean McDermott's defense: middle linebacker. Leighton Vander Esch, besides having one of the best names in the draft, is the exact brand of player the Bills should be after to be their middle linebacker for the next 5-to-10 years. He's big (6-foot-4, 256-pounds), he's long (almost 34-inch arms), he's athletic (4.65 40-yard dash, 6.88 three-cone drill, 39.5-inch vertical jump), he's instinctive, he has coverage abilities, and he's an ascending player with tons of potential. How is he available at 22nd overall, you might ask? That's fairly simple. Linebacker is not a highly valued position to many teams out there -- but it is to a few, and the Bills are one of those few. Defensive tackle (Taven Bryan, Maurice Hurst) were considerations here, but the depth of that position in this draft make it more likely that a solid player that can step in and start will be around when the Bills are back on the board at 56.
23) - CB Mike Hughes, Central Florida
24) (from CAR) - WR Courtland Sutton, SMU
25) - DT Taven Bryan, Florida
26) - DT Maurice Hurst, Michigan
27) (from NO) - WR Calvin Ridley, Alabama
28) - LB Rashaan Evans, Alabama
29) - G Will Hernandez, UTEP
30) - G/C Billy Price, Ohio State
31) - TE Dallas Goedert, South Dakota State
32) - DE Harold Landry, Boston College