A pesky low-pressure system will set up shop and call the Great Lakes home through the work-week. This means temperatures will be below average and winds will align along Lake Erie to produce lake effect rain showers. Conditions may be favorable near the lake shore for graupel and thunder. Metro Buffalo may pick up 1.5-2.5" of rain through Friday and in most persistent lake effect rain bands there could be between 2"-4" possible.
Here's the break down:
TUESDAY NIGHT: Rain moves in around midnight with lake effect rain showers developing near Metro Buffalo during the overnight.
WEDNESDAY: Lake rain showers remain close to Metro Buffalo and even northtowns. .5"-1" of rain possible through Wednesday evening.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY: Lake rain shifts beings to shift south to the south towns.
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY: Lake rain shifts further south and into the S.Tier