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Josh's Forecast: Potentially tricky Monday AM drive in Buffalo with a burst of snow, followed by lake effect

The leading edge of a cold front will deliver a burst of snow in time for the morning drive, making for a slick commute. Shifting lake snow bands follow for the rest of Monday.
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WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for Northern Erie and Genesee counties from 5 A.M. Monday to 4 A.M. Tuesday

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING for Wyoming, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties starting at 1 P.M. Monday and lasting through 4 A.M. Thursday. Sizable accumulations are likely, especially along the Chautauqua Ridge.

Get ready to do plenty of shivering, and for some, quite a bit of shoveling. A few flurries will develop later tonight. As an arctic cold front approaches Monday morning, a quick burst of snow will blow through metro Buffalo, just in time for the morning commute, making for some slippery travel. Allow extra time to get to where you going in the morning. As cold air pours back into Western New York, lake effect snow plumes will develop. One plume may set up very close to the Buffalo metro, just to its south, delivering the potential of several inches of lake snow to southern Erie county before the day is out. That lake effect snow band will then slowly settle south, ultimately setting up shop for several hours in Ski Country. The lake snow band off of Erie will at times intensify early in the week, and it will "have legs", reaching many miles to the east. While the snow band will spend a great deal of time in Ski Country in the new week, it will likely oscillate north from time to time. The lake effect pattern will wind down by Thursday, and temperatures will moderate in time for the start of the weekend. But...that said....don't let your guard down. More arctic air is waiting in the wings for the week after this one!

SUNDAY
EVENING: Clouding up, flurries, upper 20s

MONDAY
MORNING: Snow showers, mid 20s.
AFTERNOON: Snow showers, low 30s.

TUESDAY
MORNING: Snow showers, teens.
AFTERNOON: Flurries, near 20.

WEDNESDAY
MORNING: Lake snow, cold, mid teens

AFTERNOON: Flurries & lake snow, mid 20s