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Autumn's Forecast: Warm & windy Tuesday with severe weather threat

Strong to severe storms possible on Tuesday. The storms Tuesday could bring damaging winds, hail, and isolated tornadoes.
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BUFFALO, N.Y. (WKBW) — A strong cold front will push through Western New York on Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center has most of WNY in an Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Tuesday. The main storm threat will be damaging winds, but large hail, and isolated tornadoes will be possible.

We'll watch the progression of storms because a couple factors might be able to limit the severe potential across WNY Tuesday.

  1. If there is pre-frontal precipitation. Meaning, rain and thunderstorms develop ahead of the cold front.
    1. If this occurs early enough, the heat and humidity won't be at its maximum to help storms become stronger
    2. This would cool down the environment and make severe storm development harder to achieve for the cold front.
  2. If the cold front comes through later in the evening after prime heating of the day.

But, if the storms ahead of the front get into the environment rich in daytime heat and moisture, we'll likely have strong to severe storms into the late afternoon, south and east of Buffalo.

OVERNIGHT: Clouds increase, breeze picks up. 50s.

TUESDAY
MORNING: Mostly cloudy, mid 50s.
AFTERNOON: Strong to Severe Storms, upper 70s.

WEDNESDAY
MORNING: Partly cloudy, near 40.
AFTERNOON: Partly sunny, mid 50s.

THURSDAY
MORNING: Partly cloudy, low 40s.
AFTERNOON: Sctd. showers, near 70.

FRIDAY
MORNING: Sctd. showers, near 60.
AFTERNOON: Mostly cloudy, mid 60s.