How's the winter looking? 7 First Alert Weather Team looks at what lies ahead

Winter Weather Outlook 2017-18
Posted at 10:29 PM, Oct 16, 2017

Catch the full story tonight on 7 Eyewitness News at 11.

Cold and crazy or warm and calm, the 7 First Alert team of veteran meteorologists is breaking down what kind of winter lies ahead for western new york.

7 First Alert meteorologist Andy Parker:  Looking for signs ...

One of the biggest misconceptions is that our warm fall weather must mean a ferocious winter is in the way.  Andy says that fatalistic feeling is more psychological than scientific.

7 First Alert meteorologist Don Paul: Warm Lake & Lake Effect Snow

It will take more than a warm lake to get the lake effect going.  Don says wind will play a major factor in determining who, where and how much lake effect snow we will get.

7 First Alert meteorologist Autumn Lewandowski: The El Nino Factor

El Nino means warmer sea surface temperatures.  Autumn says this typically signifies warm and dry conditions across the Great Lakes - but this year, El Nino is in a neutral phase.

7 First Alert Chief Meteorologist Aaron Mentkowski: What can we expect

Aaron says we can expect a slow start to the winter season with temperatures staying above normal through December.  But, the second half will be colder, with more snow.