Erie County Health Commissioner: Research shows Orange Zone designations are working

Posted at 6:36 PM, Dec 10, 2020
and last updated 2020-12-10 19:12:30-05

ERIE COUNTY, N.Y. (WKBW) — Erie County Health Commissioner Dr. Gale Bustein said there is evidence the Orange Zone designations are working. A doctor from the Jacobs School of Medicine at the University at Buffalo conducted research that shows the Orange Zone is having a direct affect on hospitalizations.

Dr. Peter Winklestein's research is demonstrated in the graph pictured below. The blue dots are hospital census. The yellow line is Dr. Winklestein's hospital census projection. The gray line represents November 20th, when parts of Erie County entered the Orange Zone.

"The curve is not as steep as it was before we all went into the Orange Zone. So we can say thank you Governor Cuomo we have seen some small effect with hospital admissions the rate of rise is not as fast as it has been before the orange zone," Dr. Burstein said.

Dr. Burstein said this is good news because it shows we can have an effect on hospitalizations without having to shut down more businesses.