Cuomo Maintains Lead, but Race May be Tightening

November 1, 2010 Updated Nov 1, 2010 at 11:56 AM EDT

By WKBW Programming


Cuomo Maintains Lead, but Race May be Tightening

November 1, 2010 Updated Nov 1, 2010 at 11:56 AM EDT

BUFFALO, NY (WKBW) - A number of state wide races are tightening while the race for governor remains fairly one sided according to the latest numbers from the Siena Research Institute.

The latest SRI (Siena Research Institute) poll numbers show Democrat Andrew Cuomo with a large 25 point lead over Republican Carl Paladino heading into Tuesday's general election.

Cuomo leads big downstate, 78-15 percent in New York City and has a 45-41 percent lead upstate. Paladino also trailed heavily in the polls to Rick Lazio heading into the September primary election before beating him in a statistical landslide.

“Cuomo’s favorability rating, 57-38 percent, remains strong, although it is down a little, and Paladino’s negative favorability rating, 31-62 percent, although two-to-one negative is up from three-to-one negative in the last Siena Poll,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg.

In another poll released Monday by APEX Survey Research, the numbers appear to show a tightening race. The APEX poll shows Cuomo with a 52-39 percent lead; only a 13-point difference between Paladino and Cuomo heading into election night.

The races for Comptroller and Attorney General have tightened heading into the election, according the Siena Research Poll numbers.

In the race for Comptroller, incumbent Thomas DiNapoli is now tied with Republican Harry Wilson 44-44 percent. An SRI poll on October 20 showed DiNapoli with a 17 point lead, which has evaporated in less than two weeks.

“Harry Wilson has narrowed, no, has eliminated Tom DiNapoli’s 17-point lead. Both candidates have the support of 44 percent of the voters, with 12 percent still undecided,” Greenberg said.

The race for Attorney General is also now tied, as Republican Dan Donovan has picked up 7 points since the last poll to pull even with Democrat Eric Schneiderman.

“Voters have a clear choice between two candidates whose campaigns have certainly highlighted their philosophical differences and approaches to the Attorney General’s office. Neither one has persuaded a majority of voters to support them, and with 12 percent undecided heading into the final days of the campaign, this race looks like the proverbial coin toss,” said Greenberg.

In the two races for U.S. Senate, Democrat incumbents Kirsten Gillibrand and Charles Schumer maintain large leads over their Republican challengers.

Gillibrand holds a 20 point lead over Republican Joe DioGuardi, leading 57-37 percent.

"DioGuardi has improved his standing with Republicans and has cut
Gillibrand’s lead with independents from 17 to six points,” Greenberg said. “Gillibrand leads, with majority support, in every region of the state.”

Schumer leads Republican Jay Townsend 64-32 percent heading into Tuesday's election, the largest lead of any statewide candidate.

“Chuck Schumer continues to maintain a two-to-one lead, 64-32 percent, over Jay Townsend,” Greenberg said. “Schumer gets 58 percent of the vote in the suburbs, 61 percent upstate and 76 percent in New York City. He’s even getting the support of 39 percent of Republicans, holding Townsend to only 57 percent of his own party.

Read the complete results from the Siena Research Institute here.